Here's Another Wakefield Myth You Can Stop Repeating
No, MMR vaccination rates in the US did NOT decline after his paper was published
I wrote this back in March of 2019, when the war against “anti-vaxxers” was already going strong, and the state of California was about to effectively remove all vaccine exemptions for children attending school in that state. I am reposting it now because a) it’s worth reminding folks about this, and b) an interview I did back then, in which I talk about this, has just been removed from YouTube, citing this part of the discussion as one of the reasons for the removal.
I know. Five years on, and they still think they can get away with this crap.
Here is my piece:
As the US Senate holds entirely one-sided hearings on the topic of vaccines, with the likely goal of imposing vaccine mandates nationwide, we’re hearing it again: The claim that we are now experiencing dangerous outbreaks of a disease that had already been eradicated (they aren’t, and it hadn’t), and that it’s all the fault of Dr. Andrew Wakefield and his “discredited” Lancet paper.
According to this narrative, after the publication of the Lancet paper, (which identified a possible association between the MMR vaccine and autism, and called for further investigation), parents panicked, stopped giving their children the MMR vaccine, and measles cases skyrocketed.
Here is Forbes:
“But following the popularization of Andrew Wakefield’s 1998 fraudulent study, linking the MMR (measles, mumps, rubella) vaccine to autism in children, followed by celebrity endorsement of vaccines linked to autism, vaccination rates declined over the past decade, leading to larger and larger outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases, many of which carry life-threatening and/or organ-threatening complications.”
And here is Time Magazine:
“In the U.S., measles was declared eliminated in 2000. Since 2000, however, there has been a resurgence of measles, with more than 2,216 reported cases. Wakefield’s anti-vaccine fanaticism contributed to the 2015 outbreak in Disneyland in California, which eventually infected more than 130 people, and to the 2017 measles outbreaks in Minnesota, where his message persuaded many parents not to vaccinate their children.”
It’s a thrilling narrative for those who seek to force vaccines on the people around them. The only problem is that it’s not true.
MMR vaccination rates in the US did drop slightly in 1997 – the year before the Wakefield study was published – and again in 1998. However they rose again the following year, and have remained at or above pre-1997 rates since then. In fact, the four years immediately following the Lancet study saw higher MMR vaccination rates than in the four years preceding the study.
It is true that cases of measles in the US have risen in recent years:
Source: Orenstein & Seib, The New England Journal of Medicine
Following the spike in 2014, the numbers fell to 188 the next year, and 86 (the same number of cases in the year measles was declared to be “eliminated”) in 2016. In 2018, the number of cases nationwide was 372. But whatever increases there have been since 2000 cannot be attributed to a drop in MMR vaccination rates following publication of the Lancet paper, because there was none.
So why the confusion? Why does the media continually report that vaccination rates are declining, leading to serious outbreaks of diseases like measles?
J.B. Handley, director of Children’s Health Defense, explains:
The media abuses the vaccine exemption number, not the MMR vaccination number. Parents file exemptions anytime they don’t get EVERY vaccine required for school for their child. In Oregon, if you get 0 of 24 or 23 of 24 vaccines required for school for your child, you are counted as “exempt.”
What the Oregon Health Authority knows, and is true in every other state, is that exemptions go up when one thing happens: new vaccines are added to the required school schedule. Quoting the Oregon Health Authority who wrote: “When other vaccines have been added as school immunization requirements, non-medical exemption rates have increased for all vaccines.” Why would that happen? Two reasons: 1. Administrative burden, and 2. Wariness of brand new vaccine requirements (like, “does my kid really need Hep A?”.)
I’m going to repeat what I’ve said above, because some people don’t hear this well:
There was no drop in MMR vaccination rates in the US following the publication of Dr. Wakefield’s paper in the Lancet. Instead, MMR vaccination rates actually rose.
The narrative that is fueling the current hysteria around measles, and that is driving calls for mandatory vaccination across the country, is founded on a collection of falsehoods. A reasonable person might ask: How is it that nearly every single reporter and commentator in the mainstream media has gotten this so badly wrong? How is it that no-one at any of the biggest and most widely respected publications ever bothered to check their facts on this, or on numerous other issues related to the vaccine controversy? How is it that what is essentially a slanderous lie gets repeated over and over again in prominent media outlets as if it is the truth?
Andrew Wakefield may be the most unjustly maligned person in recent history. That he has persevered in the face of decades of unmitigated ridicule is a testament to the strength of the human spirit.